Match

Luckenwalde vs SV Babelsberg 03: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 11Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, Luckenwalde

LuckenwaldeSV Babelsberg 03

The Footlab model makes SV Babelsberg 03 the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Luckenwalde vs SV Babelsberg 03?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Luckenwalde (1,786) and SV Babelsberg 03 (1,864).

Luckenwalde win23 %
Draw23 %
SV Babelsberg 03 win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luckenwalde have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; SV Babelsberg 03 have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luckenwalde
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026FSV Zwickau(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Tasmania Berlin(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026RSV Eintracht(away)0-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 24, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
SV Babelsberg 03
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026RSV Eintracht(home)3-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 11, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Altglienicke(home)2-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 26, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig(away)2-0Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Luckenwalde win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 17, 2026SV Babelsberg 03 2-3 LuckenwaldeRegionalliga - Nordost
Oct 24, 2025Luckenwalde 0-0 SV Babelsberg 03Regionalliga - Nordost
May 10, 2025SV Babelsberg 03 1-2 LuckenwaldeRegionalliga - Nordost
Nov 23, 2024Luckenwalde 2-2 SV Babelsberg 03Regionalliga - Nordost
Mar 9, 2024Luckenwalde 1-2 SV Babelsberg 03Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 22, 2023SV Babelsberg 03 1-2 LuckenwaldeRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: SV Babelsberg 03 vs Luckenwalde on Apr 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Luckenwalde0.91.439/156/15
SV Babelsberg 032.82.2212/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Luckenwalde sit 15th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and SV Babelsberg 03 sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12SV Babelsberg 035122895
15Luckenwalde51045113

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Luckenwalde vs SV Babelsberg 03?
The Footlab model makes SV Babelsberg 03 the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Luckenwalde.
Where and when is Luckenwalde vs SV Babelsberg 03 played?
Luckenwalde vs SV Babelsberg 03 is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Luckenwalde and SV Babelsberg 03

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