Luckenwalde vs SV Babelsberg 03: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 11Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, Luckenwalde
The Footlab model makes SV Babelsberg 03 the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luckenwalde vs SV Babelsberg 03?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Luckenwalde (1,786) and SV Babelsberg 03 (1,864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luckenwalde have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; SV Babelsberg 03 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Luckenwalde win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03 2-3 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Luckenwalde 0-0 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 10, 2025 | SV Babelsberg 03 1-2 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Luckenwalde 2-2 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Luckenwalde 1-2 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 22, 2023 | SV Babelsberg 03 1-2 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: SV Babelsberg 03 vs Luckenwalde on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luckenwalde | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| SV Babelsberg 03 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luckenwalde sit 15th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and SV Babelsberg 03 sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luckenwalde vs SV Babelsberg 03?
- The Footlab model makes SV Babelsberg 03 the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Luckenwalde.
- Where and when is Luckenwalde vs SV Babelsberg 03 played?
- Luckenwalde vs SV Babelsberg 03 is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Sep 27, 2026Hallescher FCvsBFC Preussen
- Sep 27, 2026BFC DynamovsGreifswalder FC
- Sep 27, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsFSV Zwickau
- Sep 27, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Sep 27, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Sep 27, 2026RSV EintrachtvsChemnitzer FC
- Sep 27, 2026Magdeburg IIvsAltglienicke