Hollandia vs DVS 33 Ermelo: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Juliana Sportpark, Hoorn
The Footlab AI model makes DVS 33 Ermelo the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Hollandia. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hollandia vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
DVS 33 Ermelo starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,765 vs 1,566).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hollandia vs DVS 33 Ermelo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hollandia
4-3-3- 18J. Koeman
- 14N. Koster
- 13F. Vrenegoor
- 30Bart Spil
- 11D. Jansen
- MM. Vissie
- 2R. Fecunda
- 5M. Manshanden
- 4D. Inyamah
- 23N. Maijenburg
- 21H. Veltman
DVS 33 Ermelo
3-4-3- 10Stef Nijland
- 7J. van Essen
- 11B. Roemeon
- 6R. Dekker
- 22M. Ahrens
- 3Tim Van de Berg
- 8Maarten van Dijk
- 5R. Baas
- 17Willard Timmerman
- 15T. van Diermen
- 32Largo Karrenbelt
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hollandia have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; DVS 33 Ermelo have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | SVZW(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Staphorst(home) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hercules(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Staphorst(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 0-4 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Hollandia wins, 0 draws, 1 DVS 33 Ermelo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo 2-1 Hollandia | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: DVS 33 Ermelo vs Hollandia on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hollandia score 1.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; DVS 33 Ermelo score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hollandia | 1.8 | 2.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| DVS 33 Ermelo | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hollandia sit 17th in Derde Divisie (1 point from 8 matches) and DVS 33 Ermelo sit 13th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 6 |
| 17 | Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 1 |
A question about Hollandia vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hollandia vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
- The Footlab AI model makes DVS 33 Ermelo the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Hollandia.
- Where and when is Hollandia vs DVS 33 Ermelo played?
- Hollandia vs DVS 33 Ermelo is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Juliana Sportpark, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.