Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 5Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ashdod Senti, Ašdod (Ashdod)
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Holon Yermiyahu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Maccabi Ashdod (1,688) and Holon Yermiyahu (1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ashdod have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Holon Yermiyahu have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maccabi Ashdod win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Holon Yermiyahu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Holon Yermiyahu 5-3 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-4 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-3 Maccabi Ashdod | State Cup |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th in Liga Alef (28 points from 21 matches) and Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Holon Yermiyahu.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu played?
- Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu is played on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ashdod Senti, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsDimona
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Azor
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Herzliya
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi YavnevsBeitar Yavne
- Sep 30, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Hadera
- Sep 30, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Sep 30, 2026Tzeirey TiravsFC Jerusalem
- Sep 30, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Marmorek