Match

Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats

DFB PokalRound of 32Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein Kiel1899 Hoffenheim

The Footlab AI model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,963 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

1899 Hoffenheim starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (2,138 vs 1,995).

8%14%78%
Holstein Kiel winDraw1899 Hoffenheim win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Holstein Kiel

4-1-4-1
  1. 19P. Harres
  1. 28J. Meffert
  2. 20A. Kaprálik
  3. 8G. Balzi
  4. 10J. Therkelsen
  5. 43T. Wiese
  1. 32H. Sekine
  2. 5N. Madsen
  3. 40Leon Parduzi
  4. 13I. Nekić
  1. 1T. Weiner

1899 Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1
  1. 19T. Lemperle
  1. 7L. Avdullahu
  2. 10A. Hložek
  3. 11F. Asllani
  4. 20B. Conté
  5. 18W. Burger
  1. 34V. Coufal
  2. 28K. Machida
  3. 5O. Kabak
  4. 39M. Rots
  1. 1O. Baumann

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 02:58 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 9, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Viborg(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Sep 13, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)0-12. Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026Beşiktaş(home)2-3UEFA Europa League
Oct 10, 2026Hamburger SV(home)2-3Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 17, 2026OFI(away)0-2UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Holstein Kiel wins, 0 draws, 4 1899 Hoffenheim wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 29, 20261899 Hoffenheim 3-1 Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs
Jan 18, 2025Holstein Kiel 1-3 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Aug 24, 20241899 Hoffenheim 3-2 Holstein KielBundesliga
Oct 26, 20211899 Hoffenheim 5-1 Holstein KielDFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel on Jul 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel1.41.529/159/15
1899 Hoffenheim1.81.848/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
The Footlab AI model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the DFB Pokal.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Holstein Kiel and 1899 Hoffenheim

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