Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen
The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
1899 Hoffenheim starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (2,156 vs 2,033).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 3-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Werder Bremen win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 1899 Hoffenheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim 1-0 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Werder Bremen 0-2 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Werder Bremen 1-3 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Sep 29, 2024 | 1899 Hoffenheim 3-4 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Werder Bremen 2-3 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Werder Bremen sit 15th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and 1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 61 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
- The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Werder Bremen.
- Where and when is Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?
- Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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