Homeboyz vs Nairobi United: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bukhungu Stadium, Kakamega
The Footlab AI model makes Nairobi United the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Homeboyz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nairobi United wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,338 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Homeboyz vs Nairobi United?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Homeboyz (1,526) and Nairobi United (1,544).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Homeboyz vs Nairobi United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Homeboyz
Not enough data to predict the Homeboyz lineup.
Nairobi United
4-3-3- 33B. Ochieng
- 5S. Mwinyi
- 10H. Muhadjiri
- 29D. Odhiambo
- 24L. Owino
- 26B. Mzee
- 34L. Ogutu
- 2Y. Mainge
- 12K. Otiende
- 4J. Otieno
- 32K. Oduor
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Homeboyz have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Nairobi United have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Kenya Police(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | AFC Leopards(away) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 2-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | APS Bomet(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Homeboyz wins, 1 draw, 2 Nairobi United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Nairobi United 2-2 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Homeboyz 0-2 Nairobi United | FKF Premier League |
| May 1, 2025 | Nairobi United 2-0 Homeboyz | Shield Cup |
Last archived meeting: Nairobi United vs Homeboyz on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Homeboyz score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nairobi United score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Homeboyz | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Nairobi United | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Homeboyz sit 17th in FKF Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and Nairobi United sit 15th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nairobi United | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Homeboyz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
A question about Homeboyz vs Nairobi United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Homeboyz vs Nairobi United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nairobi United the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Homeboyz.
- Where and when is Homeboyz vs Nairobi United played?
- Homeboyz vs Nairobi United is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bukhungu Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.