Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Afraha Stadium, Nakuru
The Footlab AI model makes APS Bomet the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Ulinzi Stars. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 2,922 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Ulinzi Stars (1,471) and APS Bomet (1,509).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ulinzi Stars
Not enough data to predict the Ulinzi Stars lineup.
APS Bomet
Not enough data to predict the APS Bomet lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulinzi Stars have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; APS Bomet have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Mathare United(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Bandari(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ulinzi Stars win, 0 draws, 1 APS Bomet win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars 0-1 APS Bomet | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 19, 2025 | APS Bomet 0-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ulinzi Stars score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; APS Bomet score 1.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulinzi Stars | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| APS Bomet | 1.0 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulinzi Stars sit 16th in FKF Premier League (1 point from 2 matches) and APS Bomet sit 15th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | APS Bomet | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?
- The Footlab AI model makes APS Bomet the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Ulinzi Stars.
- Where and when is Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet played?
- Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Afraha Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.