Tusker vs 3K: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ruaraka Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab AI model makes Tusker the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for 3K. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tusker vs 3K?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Tusker (1,559) and 3K (1,486).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tusker vs 3K
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tusker
Not enough data to predict the Tusker lineup.
3K
Not enough data to predict the 3K lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tusker have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; 3K have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Ahli Wad Medani(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Al Ahli Wad Medani(away) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KVZ(home) | 2-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Rayon Sports(home) | 0-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Migori Youth(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Talanta(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 23, 2026 | Equity Bank(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tusker score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; 3K score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tusker | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| 3K | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tusker sit 1st in FKF Premier League (3 points from 1 match) and 3K sit 6th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3K | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
A question about Tusker vs 3K?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tusker vs 3K?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tusker the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for 3K.
- Where and when is Tusker vs 3K played?
- Tusker vs 3K is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ruaraka Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.