Horoya vs JS Saoura: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sports Center - Yorokoguia-Horoya AC, Dubreka
The Footlab model makes Horoya the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for JS Saoura. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Horoya vs JS Saoura?
JS Saoura starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,951 vs 1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horoya have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; JS Saoura have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | CI Kamsar(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Wakirya(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Hafia(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Ashanti GB(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Milo(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | CS Constantine(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | El Bayadh(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 12, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 7, 2026 | Mostaganem(away) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Khenchela(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Horoya score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; JS Saoura score 1.4 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horoya | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| JS Saoura | 1.4 | 0.4 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Horoya vs JS Saoura?
- The Footlab model makes Horoya the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for JS Saoura.
- Where and when is Horoya vs JS Saoura played?
- Horoya vs JS Saoura is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sports Center - Yorokoguia-Horoya AC, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.