Hull City vs Manchester United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)The MKM Stadium, Hull
The Footlab model makes Manchester United the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Hull City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hull City vs Manchester United?
Manchester United is a heavy favourite: 2,240 Elo points against 1,908 — a 332-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hull City have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Manchester United have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nice(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hull City win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Manchester United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2017 | Manchester United 0-0 Hull City | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2017 | Hull City 2-1 Manchester United | League Cup |
| Jan 10, 2017 | Manchester United 2-0 Hull City | League Cup |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Hull City 0-1 Manchester United | Premier League |
| May 24, 2015 | Hull City 0-0 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Nov 29, 2014 | Manchester United 3-0 Hull City | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Manchester United vs Hull City on Feb 1, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Hull City score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester United score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Manchester United | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 71 |
Who is out?
15 reported absence(s) for this match.
- B. ŠeškoManchester UnitedDoubtful(Leg Injury)
- K. DarlowManchester UnitedDoubtful(Surgery)
- M. de LigtManchester UnitedOut(Back Injury)
- M. MountManchester UnitedDoubtful(Foot Injury)
- M. UgarteManchester UnitedOut(Knee Injury)
- T. HeatonManchester UnitedOut(Injury)
- C. DramehHull CityDoubtful(Muscle Injury)
- C. HughesHull CityOut(Groin Injury)
- D. GyabiHull CityOut(Groin Injury)
- E. MatazoHull CityOut(Knee Injury)
- H. MoritaHull CityDoubtful(Calf Injury)
- J. ButlandHull CityOut(Arm Injury)
- J. GelhardtHull CityOut(Ankle Injury)
- M. JacobHull CityOut(Hip Injury)
- Óscar Steven Zambrano PreciadoHull CityOut(Hamstring Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Manchester United?
- The Footlab model makes Manchester United the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Hull City vs Manchester United played?
- Hull City vs Manchester United is played on August 22, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at The MKM Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.