Everton vs Crystal Palace: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside
The Footlab model makes Everton the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Crystal Palace. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Everton vs Crystal Palace?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Everton (2,092) and Crystal Palace (2,110).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Everton have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Crystal Palace have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lille(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hamburger SV(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | SC Freiburg(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Al Ula(home) | 3-1 | Como Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 0-0 | Como Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Lens(home) | 0-3 | Como Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Everton win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Crystal Palace win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Crystal Palace 2-2 Everton | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Crystal Palace 1-2 Everton | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Everton 1-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Jan 17, 2024 | Everton 1-0 Crystal Palace | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Crystal Palace vs Everton on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Everton score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Crystal Palace score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Crystal Palace | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Everton sit 13th in Premier League (49 points from 38 matches) and Crystal Palace sit 15th (45 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | 49 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | 45 |
Who is out?
4 reported absence(s) for this match.
- C. NørgaardEvertonOut(Injury)
- J. GarnerEvertonOut(Groin Injury)
- T. IroegbunamEvertonOut(Muscle Injury)
- D. HendersonCrystal PalaceDoubtful(Ankle Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Everton vs Crystal Palace?
- The Footlab model makes Everton the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Crystal Palace.
- Where and when is Everton vs Crystal Palace played?
- Everton vs Crystal Palace is played on August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hill Dickinson Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.