Ipswich vs Sunderland: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Portman Road, Ipswich, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Ipswich the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Sunderland. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ipswich vs Sunderland?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Ipswich (1,999) and Sunderland (2,056).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ipswich have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sunderland have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Berlin(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oxford United(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lens(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-0 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 0-1 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 2-4 | Premier League - Summer Series |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ipswich win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sunderland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | Ipswich 2-1 Sunderland | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich | Championship |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Ipswich 1-1 Sunderland | League One |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Sunderland 2-0 Ipswich | League One |
| Jan 26, 2021 | Ipswich 0-1 Sunderland | League One |
| Nov 3, 2020 | Sunderland 2-1 Ipswich | League One |
Last archived meeting: Ipswich vs Sunderland on Jan 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ipswich score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Sunderland | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | 54 |
Who is out?
3 reported absence(s) for this match.
- A. MatusiwaIpswichDoubtful(Injury)
- J. TaylorIpswichDoubtful(Knee Injury)
- S. AdingraSunderlandOut(Foot Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ipswich vs Sunderland?
- The Footlab model makes Ipswich the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Sunderland.
- Where and when is Ipswich vs Sunderland played?
- Ipswich vs Sunderland is played on August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Portman Road, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.