Where and when is AFC Emley vs Leek Town played?

AFC Emley vs Leek Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Welfare Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

AFC Emley vs Leek Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Welfare Ground, Emley, West Yorkshire

AFC Emley

Leek Town

The Footlab model makes AFC Emley the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Leek Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AFC Emley vs Leek Town?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate AFC Emley (1,720) and Leek Town (1,772).

AFC Emley win38 %

Draw28 %

Leek Town win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Emley have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Leek Town have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AFC Emley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ashton United(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Leek Town(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 14, 2026	Curzon Ashton(home)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Ilkeston Town(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Hyde United(away)	0-0	Non League Premier - Northern

Leek Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bamber Bridge(home)	4-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	AFC Emley(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Stockton Town(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	United of Manchester(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Whitby Town(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 AFC Emley win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Leek Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Leek Town 1-2 AFC Emley	Non League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Leek Town vs AFC Emley on Aug 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AFC Emley score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
AFC Emley	1.4	1.1	4	8/15	8/15
Leek Town	1.5	1.0	5	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AFC Emley sit 9th in Non League Premier - Northern (8 points from 5 matches) and Leek Town sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	AFC Emley	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
15	Leek Town	5	1	2	2	8	7	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AFC Emley vs Leek Town?: The Footlab model makes AFC Emley the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Leek Town.
Where and when is AFC Emley vs Leek Town played?: AFC Emley vs Leek Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Welfare Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.