AFC Emley vs Leek Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Welfare Ground, Emley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leek Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Emley vs Leek Town?
Leek Town starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,807 vs 1,680).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Emley vs Leek Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Emley
Not enough data to predict the AFC Emley lineup.
Leek Town
Not enough data to predict the Leek Town lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Emley have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Leek Town have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Workington(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bootle(away) | 0-5 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 AFC Emley win, 0 draws, 0 Leek Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leek Town 1-2 AFC Emley | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Leek Town vs AFC Emley on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Emley score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leek Town score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Emley | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Leek Town | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Emley sit 19th in Non League Premier - Northern (11 points from 13 matches) and Leek Town sit 18th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 11 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 11 |
A question about AFC Emley vs Leek Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Emley vs Leek Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for AFC Emley.
- Where and when is AFC Emley vs Leek Town played?
- AFC Emley vs Leek Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Welfare Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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