Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza, Provincia de Mendoza
The Footlab model makes Independ. Rivadavia the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Racing Club. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Independ. Rivadavia (1,972) and Racing Club (1,918).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independ. Rivadavia have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Racing Club have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Independiente(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Fluminense(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(home) | 1-0 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Banfield(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tigre(home) | 1-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Rosario Central(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Independ. Rivadavia win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Racing Club win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Racing Club 1-1 Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Racing Club 0-0 Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Independ. Rivadavia 2-1 Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Racing Club 2-1 Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Racing Club vs Independ. Rivadavia on Feb 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Independ. Rivadavia score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Club score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independ. Rivadavia | 1.4 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Racing Club | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independ. Rivadavia sit 1st in Liga Profesional Argentina (34 points from 16 matches) and Racing Club sit 8th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 34 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 21 |
| 10 | Independ. Rivadavia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club?
- The Footlab model makes Independ. Rivadavia the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Racing Club.
- Where and when is Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club played?
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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