Match

Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: prediction and stats

UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

InterShakhtar Donetsk

The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Shakhtar Donetsk. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Inter starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (2,301 vs 2,150).

76%15%9%
Inter winDrawShakhtar Donetsk win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Inter

3-5-2
  1. 9M. Thuram
  2. 10Lautaro Martínez
  1. 32F. Dimarco
  2. 17A. Diouf
  3. 20H. Çalhanoğlu
  4. 23N. Barella
  5. 7P. Zieliński
  1. 31Y. Bisseck
  2. 95A. Bastoni
  3. 25M. Akanji
  1. 1Josep Martínez

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
  1. 9Kauã Elias
  1. 6Marlon Gomes
  2. 30Alisson Santana
  3. 11Newertton
  4. 8D. Kryskiv
  5. 10Pedrinho
  1. 17Vinícius Tobias
  2. 13Pedrinho
  3. 22M. Matvienko
  4. 5V. Bondar
  1. 31D. Riznyk

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Shakhtar Donetsk have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Inter
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Club Brugge KV(home)3-4UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Parma(home)3-0Serie A
Oct 3, 2026Lumezzane(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026AS Roma(away)2-2Serie A
Sep 14, 2026Udinese(home)5-3Serie A
Shakhtar Donetsk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Veres Rivne(away)3-0Premier League
Oct 2, 2026Kryvbas KR(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026LNZ Cherkasy(home)3-0Premier League
Sep 17, 2026Vilkhivtsi(away)3-0Cup
Sep 14, 2026Chornomorets(home)2-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Inter wins, 3 draws, 0 Shakhtar Donetsk wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 24, 2021Inter 2-0 Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League
Sep 28, 2021Shakhtar Donetsk 0-0 InterUEFA Champions League
Dec 9, 2020Inter 0-0 Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League
Oct 27, 2020Shakhtar Donetsk 0-0 InterUEFA Champions League
Aug 17, 2020Inter 5-0 Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Europa League

Last archived meeting: Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk on Nov 24, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Inter score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Shakhtar Donetsk score 2.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Inter2.31.4411/1510/15
Shakhtar Donetsk2.30.5104/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Inter sit 25th in UEFA Champions League (0 points from 1 match) and Shakhtar Donetsk sit 19th (1 point from 1 match).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
19Shakhtar Donetsk1010111
25Inter1001120

A question about Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Shakhtar Donetsk.
Where and when is Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk played?
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk is played on October 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the UEFA Champions League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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