Internacional vs Coritiba: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 34Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Pinheiro Borda, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
The Footlab model makes Internacional the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Coritiba. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Internacional vs Coritiba?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Internacional (1,949) and Coritiba (1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Internacional have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Coritiba have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Remo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 1-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | RB Bragantino(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Internacional win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Coritiba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Coritiba 2-2 Internacional | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Internacional 3-4 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Jun 22, 2023 | Coritiba 0-1 Internacional | Serie A |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Coritiba 1-1 Internacional | Serie A |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Internacional 3-0 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Internacional 2-2 Coritiba | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Coritiba vs Internacional on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Internacional score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Coritiba score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Coritiba | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Internacional sit 16th in Serie A (25 points from 24 matches) and Coritiba sit 10th (31 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Coritiba | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 31 |
| 16 | Internacional | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 28 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Internacional vs Coritiba?
- The Footlab model makes Internacional the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Coritiba.
- Where and when is Internacional vs Coritiba played?
- Internacional vs Coritiba is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Pinheiro Borda, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.