Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness
The Footlab AI model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ayr Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Inverness CT wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Inverness CT (1,753) and Ayr Utd (1,674).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inverness CT
4-2-3-1- 9L. Stewart
- 7P. Allan
- 8A. Mackinnon
- 11L. Longstaff
- 16R. Duncan
- 35A. Stewart
- 4G. Shinnie
- 5Remmi Eugene Savage
- 2C. Macleod
- 15K. Smith
- 1R. Munro
Ayr Utd
3-4-3- 12Olly Whyte
- 7O. Stirton
- 11R. Taylor
- 6R. Lyon
- 33S. McMann
- 32D. Watret
- 20L. McBeth
- 5K. Holt
- 3L. Dick
- 8L. King
- 1H. Stone
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inverness CT have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ayr Utd have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Morton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Partick(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Inverness CT wins, 0 draws, 2 Ayr Utd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ayr Utd 1-3 Inverness CT | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Ayr Utd 1-2 Inverness CT | Challenge Cup |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Inverness CT 1-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Ayr Utd 1-3 Inverness CT | Championship |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Inverness CT 3-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Ayr Utd 1-0 Inverness CT | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inverness CT score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness CT | 1.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inverness CT sit 4th in Championship (16 points from 11 matches) and Ayr Utd sit 7th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Inverness CT | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 16 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ayr Utd.
- Where and when is Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd played?
- Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.