Ipswich vs Coventry: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Portman Road, Ipswich, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Ipswich the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Coventry. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ipswich vs Coventry?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Ipswich (2,019) and Coventry (2,030).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ipswich have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Coventry have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Berlin(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ipswich win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Coventry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Coventry 0-2 Ipswich | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Ipswich 3-0 Coventry | Championship |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Coventry 1-4 Ipswich | FA Cup |
| Apr 30, 2024 | Coventry 1-2 Ipswich | Championship |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Ipswich 2-1 Coventry | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Ipswich 0-1 Coventry | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Ipswich score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Coventry score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Coventry | 2.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ipswich sit 7th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Coventry sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ipswich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 19 | Coventry | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ipswich vs Coventry?
- The Footlab model makes Ipswich the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Coventry.
- Where and when is Ipswich vs Coventry played?
- Ipswich vs Coventry is played on January 6, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Portman Road, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.