Crystal Palace vs Chelsea: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Selhurst Park, London
The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Crystal Palace. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chelsea wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,641 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Chelsea?
Chelsea starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (2,287 vs 2,187).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crystal Palace vs Chelsea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 14J. Mateta
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 18D. Kamada
- 25A. Khalaili
- 11D. McNeil
- 26C. Richards
- 6J. Canvot
- 5A. Disasi
- 44W. Benítez
Chelsea
3-4-2-1- 17M. Rogers
- 10C. Palmer
- 7Pedro Neto
- 14J. Henderson
- 25M. Caicedo
- 21J. Hato
- 23Geovany Tcherno Quenda
- 6L. Colwill
- 5M. Lacroix
- 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
- 1E. Martínez
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 10:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crystal Palace have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Chelsea have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Everton(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Crystal Palace wins, 3 draws, 3 Chelsea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Crystal Palace 1-3 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Chelsea 0-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Crystal Palace 1-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Chelsea 1-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Crystal Palace 1-3 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Dec 27, 2023 | Chelsea 2-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Crystal Palace vs Chelsea on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crystal Palace score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chelsea score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Chelsea | 2.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crystal Palace sit 17th in Premier League (7 points from 8 matches) and Chelsea sit 5th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 13 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 7 |
A question about Crystal Palace vs Chelsea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Chelsea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Crystal Palace.
- Where and when is Crystal Palace vs Chelsea played?
- Crystal Palace vs Chelsea is played on January 6, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Selhurst Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.