Nottingham Forest vs Hull City: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Nottingham Forest the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Hull City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nottingham Forest wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Hull City?
Nottingham Forest starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (2,170 vs 2,012).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nottingham Forest vs Hull City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1- 19L. Delap
- 3N. Williams
- 10M. Gibbs-White
- 14D. Ndoye
- 24J. McAtee
- 21X. Schlager
- 27D. Muñoz
- 5Murillo
- 2O. Diomande
- 34O. Aina
- 26M. Sels
Hull City
5-4-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 27R. Slater
- 25M. Crooks
- 7S. Thomas
- 10M. Belloumi
- 2L. Coyle
- 6S. Ajayi
- 3R. Giles
- 15J. Egan
- 32N. Mendy
- 19K. Tzolakis
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hull City have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nottingham Forest wins, 1 draw, 1 Hull City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2022 | Hull City 1-1 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Nottingham Forest 2-1 Hull City | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Hull City 0-2 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2019 | Nottingham Forest 1-2 Hull City | Championship |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Nottingham Forest 3-0 Hull City | Championship |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Hull City 0-2 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Hull City vs Nottingham Forest on May 7, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hull City score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Hull City | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nottingham Forest sit 15th in Premier League (5 points from 6 matches) and Hull City sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Nottingham Forest vs Hull City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest vs Hull City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nottingham Forest the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Nottingham Forest vs Hull City played?
- Nottingham Forest vs Hull City is played on January 6, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at The City Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.