Arsenal vs Brentford: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Emirates Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Brentford. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,681 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal vs Brentford?
Arsenal starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (2,506 vs 2,303).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arsenal vs Brentford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arsenal
4-2-3-1- 29K. Havertz
- 41D. Rice
- 8M. Ødegaard
- 20N. Madueke
- 10E. Eze
- 7B. Saka
- 6Gabriel Magalhães
- 15E. Konsa
- 4B. White
- 49M. Lewis-Skelly
- 1David Raya
Brentford
4-2-3-1- 9Thiago
- 7K. Schade
- 11D. Ouattara
- 8M. Jensen
- 27V. Janelt
- 19J. Anthony
- 20K. Ajer
- 23K. Lewis-Potter
- 33M. Kayode
- 4S. van den Berg
- 1C. Kelleher
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 11:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Brentford have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Bayern München(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lille(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Reading(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Arsenal wins, 2 draws, 0 Brentford wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | Brentford 1-1 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Arsenal 2-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Arsenal 1-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Brentford 1-3 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Arsenal 2-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Brentford 0-1 Arsenal | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Brentford | 2.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal sit 2nd in Premier League (21 points from 8 matches) and Brentford sit 6th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 11 |
A question about Arsenal vs Brentford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal vs Brentford?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Brentford.
- Where and when is Arsenal vs Brentford played?
- Arsenal vs Brentford is played on January 6, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Emirates Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.