Iran vs Syria: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on January 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Azadi Stadium, Tehran
The Footlab model makes Iran the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Syria. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iran vs Syria?
Iran starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,579).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iran have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Syria have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Egypt(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Belgium(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 16, 2026 | New Zealand(home) | 2-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Mali(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| May 29, 2026 | Gambia(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Belarus(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Afghanistan(home) | 5-1 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Morocco(away) | 0-1 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Palestine(home) | 0-0 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Qatar(home) | 1-1 | Arab Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Iran win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Syria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | Iran 1-1 Syria | Asian Cup |
| Nov 16, 2021 | Syria 0-3 Iran | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 2, 2021 | Iran 1-0 Syria | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 30, 2021 | Iran 3-0 Syria | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2019 | Iran 5-0 Syria | Friendlies |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Iran 2-2 Syria | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
How many goals should we expect?
Iran score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Syria score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Syria | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Syria | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iran vs Syria?
- The Footlab model makes Iran the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Syria.
- Where and when is Iran vs Syria played?
- Iran vs Syria is played on January 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Azadi Stadium, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.