Uzbekistan vs Bahrain: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on January 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Milliy Stadium, Tashkent
The Footlab AI model makes Uzbekistan the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Bahrain. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uzbekistan vs Bahrain?
Uzbekistan starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,485).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Uzbekistan vs Bahrain
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Uzbekistan
4-2-3-1- 14E. Shomurodov
- 22A. Fayzullaev
- 6A. Mozgovoy
- 9O. Hamrobekov
- 17D. Khamdamov
- 10A. Gʻaniyev
- 2A. Khusanov
- 5J. Urozov
- 4B. Karimov
- 13S. Nasrullayev
- 12A. Ne'matov
Bahrain
4-2-3-1- 20M. Humaidan
- 7Ali Madan
- 8Mohamed Marhoon
- 10K. Al Aswad
- 4S. Dhiya
- 15Jassim Al Shaikh
- 2Amine Benaddi
- 3W. Al Hayam
- 23A. Al Khalasi
- 5Hamad Al Shamsan
- 22Ebrahim Lutfallah
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uzbekistan have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Bahrain have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | South Korea(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Syria(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Iran(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Congo DR(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 0-5 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Yemen(home) | 2-5 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 27, 2026 | United Arab Emirates(home) | 0-3 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Qatar(away) | 0-2 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Georgia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Sudan(home) | 3-1 | Arab Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Uzbekistan wins, 0 draws, 0 Bahrain wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2016 | Uzbekistan 1-0 Bahrain | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Oct 8, 2015 | Bahrain 0-4 Uzbekistan | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
Last archived meeting: Uzbekistan vs Bahrain on Mar 29, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Uzbekistan score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bahrain score 0.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uzbekistan | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Bahrain | 0.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Uzbekistan vs Bahrain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uzbekistan vs Bahrain?
- The Footlab AI model makes Uzbekistan the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Bahrain.
- Where and when is Uzbekistan vs Bahrain played?
- Uzbekistan vs Bahrain is played on January 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Milliy Stadium, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.