North Korea vs Jordan: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on January 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mong Kok Stadium, Hong Kong
The Footlab model makes Jordan the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for North Korea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win North Korea vs Jordan?
Jordan starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,665 vs 1,496).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North Korea have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Jordan have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2025 | Iran(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Kyrgyzstan(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 25, 2025 | United Arab Emirates(home) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Qatar(away) | 1-5 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Jordan(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Argentina(home) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Algeria(home) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Austria(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Colombia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| May 31, 2026 | Switzerland(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 North Korea win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Jordan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | Jordan 1-1 North Korea | Friendlies |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Jordan 2-1 North Korea | Friendlies |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Jordan 0-0 North Korea | Friendlies |
Last archived meeting: Jordan vs North Korea on Mar 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
North Korea score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Jordan score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Korea | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Jordan | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for North Korea vs Jordan?
- The Footlab model makes Jordan the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for North Korea.
- Where and when is North Korea vs Jordan played?
- North Korea vs Jordan is played on January 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mong Kok Stadium, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.