Saudi Arabia vs Kuwait: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)King Fahd Sports City Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab model makes Saudi Arabia the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Kuwait. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saudi Arabia vs Kuwait?
Saudi Arabia starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,643 vs 1,486).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saudi Arabia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Kuwait have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Cape Verde Islands(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Spain(away) | 0-4 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Uruguay(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Senegal(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Puerto Rico(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Thailand(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Dec 9, 2025 | United Arab Emirates(away) | 1-3 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Jordan(home) | 1-3 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Egypt(away) | 1-1 | Arab Cup |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Mauritania(away) | 2-0 | Arab Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Saudi Arabia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kuwait win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | Saudi Arabia 1-0 Kuwait | Friendlies |
| Nov 27, 2019 | Saudi Arabia 1-3 Kuwait | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Dec 22, 2017 | Kuwait 1-2 Saudi Arabia | Gulf Cup of Nations |
Last archived meeting: Saudi Arabia vs Kuwait on Mar 25, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Saudi Arabia score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kuwait score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Kuwait | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saudi Arabia vs Kuwait?
- The Footlab model makes Saudi Arabia the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Kuwait.
- Where and when is Saudi Arabia vs Kuwait played?
- Saudi Arabia vs Kuwait is played on January 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at King Fahd Sports City Stadium, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.