Kyrgyzstan vs China: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on January 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Dolena Omurzakova, Bishkek
The Footlab model makes Kyrgyzstan the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for China. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyrgyzstan vs China?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Kyrgyzstan (1,485) and China (1,535).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyrgyzstan have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; China have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Palestine(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Palestine(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Madagascar(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Equatorial Guinea(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Uzbekistan(away) | 0-4 | CAFA Nations Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Thailand(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Singapore(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Cameroon(home) | 0-2 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Curaçao(home) | 2-0 | FIFA Series |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Uzbekistan(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kyrgyzstan win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 China win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2019 | China 2-1 Kyrgyzstan | Asian Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Kyrgyzstan score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; China score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrgyzstan | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| China | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyrgyzstan vs China?
- The Footlab model makes Kyrgyzstan the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for China.
- Where and when is Kyrgyzstan vs China played?
- Kyrgyzstan vs China is played on January 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Dolena Omurzakova, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.