Italy U17 vs France U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva, Acquaviva
The Footlab model makes Italy U17 the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for France U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Italy U17 vs France U17?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Italy U17 (1,787) and France U17 (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy U17 have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; France U17 have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Belgium U17(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Spain U17(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Denmark U17(away) | 3-3 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 29, 2026 | Montenegro U17(away) | 3-0 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 26, 2026 | France U17(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Belgium U17(away) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Montenegro U17(home) | 5-0 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 29, 2026 | Denmark U17(home) | 4-0 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 26, 2026 | Italy U17(away) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Germany U17(home) | 2-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Italy U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 France U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | Italy U17 1-0 France U17 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Italy U17 1-2 France U17 | Friendlies |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Italy U17 2-0 France U17 | Friendlies |
Last archived meeting: Italy U17 vs France U17 on May 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Italy U17 score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; France U17 score 1.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy U17 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| France U17 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 3 matches) and France U17 sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France U17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 1 | Italy U17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Italy U17 vs France U17?
- The Footlab model makes Italy U17 the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for France U17.
- Where and when is Italy U17 vs France U17 played?
- Italy U17 vs France U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Iceland U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17vsGreece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U17vsLiechtenstein U17