Where and when is Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó played?

Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Excursionistas, in the Primera B Metropolitana.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Excursionistas, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

Excursionistas

Ituzaingó

The Footlab model makes Excursionistas the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Ituzaingó. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó?

Excursionistas starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,542).

Excursionistas win73 %

Draw18 %

Ituzaingó win8 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excursionistas have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ituzaingó have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Excursionistas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Talleres Remedios(away)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Deportivo Laferrere(home)	5-3	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Brown DE Adrogue(away)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 31, 2026	Deportivo Armenio(home)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026	Flandria(away)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana

Ituzaingó
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Deportivo Merlo(home)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Argentino de Merlo(away)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 7, 2026	Deportivo Camioneros(home)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026	Talleres Remedios(away)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026	Sportivo Italiano(home)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Excursionistas win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ituzaingó win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Ituzaingó 1-3 Excursionistas	Primera B Metropolitana
Nov 20, 2021	Ituzaingó 1-0 Excursionistas	Primera C
Oct 13, 2021	Ituzaingó 1-1 Excursionistas	Primera C
Jun 16, 2021	Excursionistas 0-0 Ituzaingó	Primera C
Feb 10, 2020	Ituzaingó 2-1 Excursionistas	Primera C
Aug 19, 2019	Excursionistas 2-0 Ituzaingó	Primera C

Last archived meeting: Ituzaingó vs Excursionistas on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Excursionistas score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ituzaingó score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Excursionistas	1.8	1.0	6	8/15	7/15
Ituzaingó	0.6	1.3	5	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Excursionistas sit 1st in Primera B Metropolitana (41 points from 20 matches) and Ituzaingó sit 22nd (9 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	20	12	5	3	27	11	41
1	Excursionistas	31	17	8	6	47	24	59
22	Ituzaingó	21	1	6	14	15	36	9
22	Ituzaingó	31	1	11	19	19	47	14

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó?: The Footlab model makes Excursionistas the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Ituzaingó.
Where and when is Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó played?: Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Excursionistas, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.