Swit vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I · Matchday 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
The Footlab AI model makes Swit the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,506 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swit vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Swit (1,680) and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (1,643).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Swit vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Swit
Not enough data to predict the Swit lineup.
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Not enough data to predict the Polonia Lidzbark Warm. lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 03:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-7 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Swit wins, 1 draw, 0 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 1-2 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | Swit 1-1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 1-2 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Swit on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swit score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swit | 2.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swit sit 4th in III Liga - Group 1 (29 points from 16 matches) and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 13th (18 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Swit | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 29 |
| 13 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 31 | 18 |
A question about Swit vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swit vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swit the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
- Where and when is Swit vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. played?
- Swit vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Nov 21, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWeszlo
- Nov 21, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsWigry Suwałki
- Nov 21, 2026Mławianka MławavsWarta Sieradz
- Nov 21, 2026ŁomżavsPelikan Łowicz
- Nov 21, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Nov 21, 2026TroszynvsWidzew II
- Nov 21, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsOlimpia Zambrów