Jagiellonia II vs Widzew II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, Białystok
The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Jagiellonia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Widzew II?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Jagiellonia II (1,775) and Widzew II (1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Widzew II have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Jagiellonia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Widzew II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia II 1-4 Widzew II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Widzew II 1-1 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Widzew II on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Widzew II | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jagiellonia II sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Widzew II sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Widzew II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia II vs Widzew II?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Jagiellonia II.
- Where and when is Jagiellonia II vs Widzew II played?
- Jagiellonia II vs Widzew II is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026SwitvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Nov 14, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsPelikan Łowicz
- Nov 14, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Nov 14, 2026Mławianka MławavsWigry Suwałki
- Nov 14, 2026ŁomżavsWarta Sieradz
- Nov 14, 2026TroszynvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Nov 14, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Nov 14, 2026WeszlovsWisła Płock II