Swit vs Olimpia Elbląg: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
The Footlab AI model makes Swit the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swit wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swit vs Olimpia Elbląg?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Swit (1,667) and Olimpia Elbląg (1,614).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Swit vs Olimpia Elbląg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Swit
Not enough data to predict the Swit lineup.
Olimpia Elbląg
Not enough data to predict the Olimpia Elbląg lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Olimpia Elbląg have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-7 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Swit wins, 1 draw, 1 Olimpia Elbląg win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Swit 0-1 Olimpia Elbląg | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Olimpia Elbląg 1-1 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Swit vs Olimpia Elbląg on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swit score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Elbląg score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swit | 1.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Olimpia Elbląg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swit sit 7th in III Liga - Group 1 (20 points from 12 matches) and Olimpia Elbląg sit 10th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Swit | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 20 |
| 10 | Olimpia Elbląg | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
A question about Swit vs Olimpia Elbląg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swit vs Olimpia Elbląg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swit the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Olimpia Elbląg.
- Where and when is Swit vs Olimpia Elbląg played?
- Swit vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 14, 2026ŁomżavsWarta Sieradz
- Nov 14, 2026TroszynvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Nov 14, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Nov 14, 2026WeszlovsWisła Płock II