Łomża vs Warta Sieradz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Łomża
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Warta Sieradz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Łomża vs Warta Sieradz?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Łomża (1,842) and Warta Sieradz (1,847).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Łomża have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Warta Sieradz have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Łomża win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Warta Sieradz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Łomża 1-1 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Warta Sieradz 1-2 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Warta Sieradz 1-0 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Łomża 2-4 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Łomża 2-0 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Warta Sieradz 2-2 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Łomża vs Warta Sieradz on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Łomża sit 15th in III Liga - Group 1 (2 points from 5 matches) and Warta Sieradz sit 12th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warta Sieradz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Łomża vs Warta Sieradz?
- The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Warta Sieradz.
- Where and when is Łomża vs Warta Sieradz played?
- Łomża vs Warta Sieradz is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026SwitvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Nov 14, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsWidzew II
- Nov 14, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsPelikan Łowicz
- Nov 14, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Nov 14, 2026Mławianka MławavsWigry Suwałki
- Nov 14, 2026TroszynvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Nov 14, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Nov 14, 2026WeszlovsWisła Płock II