Łomża vs Warta Sieradz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Łomża
The Footlab AI model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Łomża. The most likely score is 1-1. If Warta Sieradz wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Łomża vs Warta Sieradz?
On Elo ratings, Łomża has 1,698 points and Warta Sieradz 1,780.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Łomża vs Warta Sieradz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Łomża
Not enough data to predict the Łomża lineup.
Warta Sieradz
Not enough data to predict the Warta Sieradz lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Łomża have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Warta Sieradz have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Łomża wins, 2 draws, 2 Warta Sieradz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Łomża 1-1 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Warta Sieradz 1-2 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Warta Sieradz 1-0 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Łomża 2-4 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Łomża 2-0 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Warta Sieradz 2-2 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Łomża vs Warta Sieradz on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Łomża score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łomża | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Łomża sit 18th in III Liga - Group 1 (3 points from 13 matches) and Warta Sieradz sit 9th (18 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 18 |
| 18 | Łomża | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 3 |
A question about Łomża vs Warta Sieradz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Łomża vs Warta Sieradz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Łomża.
- Where and when is Łomża vs Warta Sieradz played?
- Łomża vs Warta Sieradz is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026SwitvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Nov 14, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsWidzew II
- Nov 14, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsPelikan Łowicz
- Nov 14, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Nov 14, 2026Mławianka MławavsWigry Suwałki
- Nov 14, 2026TroszynvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Nov 14, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Nov 14, 2026WeszlovsWisła Płock II