Match

Troszyn vs Olimpia Zambrów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, Troszyn

TroszynOlimpia Zambrów

The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Olimpia Zambrów. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Troszyn vs Olimpia Zambrów?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Troszyn (1,748) and Olimpia Zambrów (1,702).

Troszyn win51 %
Draw21 %
Olimpia Zambrów win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Troszyn have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Olimpia Zambrów have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Troszyn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Warta Sieradz(home)1-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Wigry Suwałki(away)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home)1-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026Widzew II(away)1-5III Liga - Group 1
Olimpia Zambrów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisła Płock II(home)4-3III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Swit(away)0-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)5-0III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Troszyn1.31.8210/158/15
Olimpia Zambrów1.91.928/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Troszyn sit 17th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Zambrów sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Olimpia Zambrów530213119
17Troszyn50144151

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Troszyn vs Olimpia Zambrów?
The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Olimpia Zambrów.
Where and when is Troszyn vs Olimpia Zambrów played?
Troszyn vs Olimpia Zambrów is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Troszyn and Olimpia Zambrów

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