Mławianka Mława vs Wigry Suwałki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, Mlawa
The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mławianka Mława vs Wigry Suwałki?
Wigry Suwałki starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,836 vs 1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mławianka Mława have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Wigry Suwałki have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Mławianka Mława win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Wigry Suwałki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki 2-0 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Mławianka Mława 1-2 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Wigry Suwałki 1-2 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Mławianka Mława 2-3 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Wigry Suwałki vs Mławianka Mława on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mławianka Mława sit 14th in III Liga - Group 1 (4 points from 5 matches) and Wigry Suwałki sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wigry Suwałki | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 | Mławianka Mława | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mławianka Mława vs Wigry Suwałki?
- The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Mławianka Mława.
- Where and when is Mławianka Mława vs Wigry Suwałki played?
- Mławianka Mława vs Wigry Suwałki is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026SwitvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Nov 14, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsWidzew II
- Nov 14, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsPelikan Łowicz
- Nov 14, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Nov 14, 2026ŁomżavsWarta Sieradz
- Nov 14, 2026TroszynvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Nov 14, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Nov 14, 2026WeszlovsWisła Płock II