Where and when is Jaguares vs Bucaramanga played?

Jaguares vs Bucaramanga is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Jaguares vs Bucaramanga: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 18Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, Montería

Jaguares

Bucaramanga

The Footlab model makes Jaguares the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Bucaramanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?

Bucaramanga starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,740 vs 1,634).

Jaguares win36 %

Draw30 %

Bucaramanga win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaguares have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Bucaramanga have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jaguares
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chico(home)	1-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Once Caldas(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 5, 2026	Internacional de Bogota(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Atletico Nacional(home)	0-3	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Deportivo Cali(away)	0-2	Primera A

Bucaramanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Deportes Tolima(away)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	3-2	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Cucuta(home)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 31, 2026	Llaneros(home)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Millonarios(away)	1-0	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Jaguares win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Bucaramanga win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Bucaramanga 2-2 Jaguares	Primera A
Jul 28, 2024	Bucaramanga 0-0 Jaguares	Primera A
Feb 2, 2024	Jaguares 0-1 Bucaramanga	Primera A
Aug 7, 2023	Bucaramanga 3-0 Jaguares	Primera A
Feb 11, 2023	Jaguares 1-1 Bucaramanga	Primera A
Sep 20, 2022	Jaguares 0-1 Bucaramanga	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Bucaramanga vs Jaguares on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jaguares score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bucaramanga score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Jaguares	1.0	1.3	5	6/15	7/15
Bucaramanga	1.5	1.4	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jaguares sit 16th in Primera A (18 points from 19 matches) and Bucaramanga sit 13th (23 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Bucaramanga	5	2	3	0	6	4	9
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	23
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	23
15	Jaguares	5	1	1	3	2	7	4
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	18
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?: The Footlab model makes Jaguares the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Bucaramanga.
Where and when is Jaguares vs Bucaramanga played?: Jaguares vs Bucaramanga is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.