Where and when is Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios played?

Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 18Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué

Deportes Tolima

Millonarios

The Footlab model makes Deportes Tolima the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Millonarios. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Deportes Tolima (1,814) and Millonarios (1,815).

Deportes Tolima win45 %

Draw28 %

Millonarios win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Tolima have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Millonarios have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportes Tolima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Independiente del Valle(home)	0-1	CONMEBOL Libertadores
Aug 8, 2026	Internacional de Bogota(home)	2-1	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Independiente Medellin(home)	2-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	2-1	Primera A

Millonarios
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Águilas Doradas(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 5, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(home)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Junior(away)	1-0	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	0-1	Primera A
Jul 18, 2026	Colo Colo(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportes Tolima win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Millonarios win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 24, 2026	Millonarios 2-0 Deportes Tolima	Primera A
Aug 17, 2025	Deportes Tolima 3-1 Millonarios	Primera A
Mar 2, 2025	Millonarios 2-0 Deportes Tolima	Primera A
Aug 3, 2024	Millonarios 1-0 Deportes Tolima	Primera A
Feb 3, 2024	Deportes Tolima 2-0 Millonarios	Primera A
Aug 8, 2023	Millonarios 1-0 Deportes Tolima	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima on Apr 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportes Tolima score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Deportes Tolima	1.2	1.1	5	7/15	9/15
Millonarios	1.9	1.0	5	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportes Tolima sit 6th in Primera A (31 points from 19 matches) and Millonarios sit 10th (26 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Deportes Tolima	5	3	1	1	8	6	10
3	Deportes Tolima	23	10	7	6	31	21	37
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27	17	31
8	Millonarios	4	2	1	1	4	2	7
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	26
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?: The Footlab model makes Deportes Tolima the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Millonarios.
Where and when is Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios played?: Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.