Match

Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 18Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué

Deportes TolimaMillonarios

The Footlab AI model makes Deportes Tolima the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Millonarios. The most likely score is 1-1. If Deportes Tolima wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,753 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Deportes Tolima (1,746) and Millonarios (1,805).

38%27%35%
Deportes Tolima winDrawMillonarios win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Deportes Tolima

4-2-3-1
  1. 24A. Parra
  1. 8E. Valencia
  2. 14H. Martínez
  3. 80B. Rovira
  4. 28E. López
  5. 9L. Sandoval
  1. 20J. Hernández
  2. 33J. Mosquera
  3. 2A. Angulo
  4. 71Y. Osorio
  1. 1Neto Volpi

Millonarios

4-4-2
  1. 11A. Estupiñán
  2. 23L. Castro
  1. 7J. Cuadrado
  2. 10D. Ruiz
  3. 28S. Vega
  4. 14D. Silva
  1. 4S. Barreiro
  2. 6S. Mosquera
  3. 3M. Diaz Samuel
  4. 20D. Banguero
  1. 1J. Burrai

Computed on October 28, 2026 at 09:44 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Tolima have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Millonarios have 5, 9 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportes Tolima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Deportivo Pasto(home)0-1Primera A
Oct 18, 2026Águilas Doradas(away)1-2Primera A
Oct 11, 2026Jaguares(away)2-3Primera A
Oct 8, 2026Atletico Nacional(away)0-0Primera A
Oct 3, 2026Chico(home)0-0Primera A
Millonarios
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Once Caldas(home)1-1Primera A
Oct 17, 2026Jaguares(home)4-1Primera A
Oct 9, 2026Fortaleza FC(away)1-1Primera A
Oct 3, 2026Barranquilla(away)1-1Copa Colombia
Sep 30, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)2-2Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportes Tolima wins, 0 draws, 4 Millonarios wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026Millonarios 2-0 Deportes TolimaPrimera A
Aug 17, 2025Deportes Tolima 3-1 MillonariosPrimera A
Mar 2, 2025Millonarios 2-0 Deportes TolimaPrimera A
Aug 3, 2024Millonarios 1-0 Deportes TolimaPrimera A
Feb 3, 2024Deportes Tolima 2-0 MillonariosPrimera A
Aug 8, 2023Millonarios 1-0 Deportes TolimaPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima on Apr 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportes Tolima score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Millonarios score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Deportes Tolima0.91.238/157/15
Millonarios1.60.9411/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportes Tolima sit 11th in Primera A (20 points from 16 matches) and Millonarios sit 5th (26 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Millonarios16682241426
11Deportes Tolima16556181920

A question about Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?
The Footlab AI model makes Deportes Tolima the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Millonarios.
Where and when is Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios played?
Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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