Where and when is Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas played?

Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Palogrande, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 18Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Palogrande, Manizales

Once Caldas

Águilas Doradas

The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Águilas Doradas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Once Caldas (1,818) and Águilas Doradas (1,732).

Once Caldas win52 %

Draw25 %

Águilas Doradas win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Once Caldas have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Águilas Doradas have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Once Caldas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Junior(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Jaguares(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 6, 2026	America de Cali(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 3, 2026	Santa Fe(away)	2-2	Primera A
Jul 30, 2026	Envigado(away)	3-0	Copa Colombia

Águilas Doradas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Millonarios(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Llaneros(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(away)	2-1	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Santa Fe(home)	2-1	Primera A
May 26, 2026	Real Soacha(away)	2-2	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Once Caldas win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Águilas Doradas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	Águilas Doradas 2-2 Once Caldas	Primera A
Aug 9, 2025	Once Caldas 1-1 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Feb 22, 2025	Águilas Doradas 0-1 Once Caldas	Primera A
Jul 20, 2024	Once Caldas 1-0 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Jan 26, 2024	Águilas Doradas 1-0 Once Caldas	Primera A
Aug 5, 2023	Águilas Doradas 2-1 Once Caldas	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Águilas Doradas vs Once Caldas on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Once Caldas score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas Doradas score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Once Caldas	1.6	0.9	4	9/15	7/15
Águilas Doradas	1.4	1.4	2	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Once Caldas sit 5th in Primera A (33 points from 19 matches) and Águilas Doradas sit 12th (26 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	33
5	Once Caldas	21	8	10	3	33	25	34
6	Águilas Doradas	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
9	Once Caldas	5	1	3	1	9	6	6
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas?: The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Águilas Doradas.
Where and when is Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas played?: Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Palogrande, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.