Where and when is Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros played?

Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 18Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar

Alianza Valledupar

Llaneros

The Footlab model makes Alianza Valledupar the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Llaneros. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Alianza Valledupar (1,659) and Llaneros (1,720).

Alianza Valledupar win45 %

Draw30 %

Llaneros win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alianza Valledupar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Llaneros have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alianza Valledupar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	2-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportes Tolima(home)	1-2	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Fortaleza FC(home)	1-1	Primera A
May 24, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	2-1	Copa Colombia

Llaneros
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(away)	1-0	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Águilas Doradas(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Fortaleza FC(home)	3-1	Primera A
Jul 31, 2026	Bucaramanga(away)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 24, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	1-0	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Alianza Valledupar win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Llaneros win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	Llaneros 0-0 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A
Sep 27, 2025	Alianza Valledupar 3-1 Llaneros	Primera A
Apr 11, 2025	Llaneros 0-1 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alianza Valledupar score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Llaneros score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alianza Valledupar	1.1	1.1	4	8/15	7/15
Llaneros	1.1	0.8	6	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alianza Valledupar sit 17th in Primera A (17 points from 19 matches) and Llaneros sit 14th (22 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Llaneros	5	3	2	0	7	3	11
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	22
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	22
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	17
17	Alianza Valledupar	4	0	2	2	4	6	2
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	17

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?: The Footlab model makes Alianza Valledupar the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Llaneros.
Where and when is Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros played?: Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.