Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 18Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogotá, D.C.
The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Deportivo Pasto. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
Santa Fe starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Fe have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Deportivo Pasto have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | America de Cali(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | River Plate(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chico(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 2-0 | Copa Colombia |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Once Caldas(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Millonarios(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bogota FC(away) | 3-0 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Santa Fe win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Pasto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Santa Fe | Primera A |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Santa Fe | Primera A |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Santa Fe 1-1 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Santa Fe 1-2 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Santa Fe | Primera A |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Santa Fe 2-1 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Pasto score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Deportivo Pasto | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Fe sit 7th in Primera A (29 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Pasto sit 3rd (34 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 34 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 35 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 34 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 29 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
- The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Deportivo Pasto.
- Where and when is Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto played?
- Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 4, 2026ChicovsInternacional de Bogota
- Nov 4, 2026JaguaresvsBucaramanga
- Nov 4, 2026JuniorvsCucuta
- Nov 4, 2026Once CaldasvsÁguilas Doradas
- Nov 4, 2026Atletico NacionalvsDeportivo Pereira
- Nov 4, 2026America de CalivsDeportivo Cali
- Nov 4, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsLlaneros
- Nov 4, 2026Deportes TolimavsMillonarios