Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba played?

Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa

Kashiwa Reysol

JEF United Chiba

The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba?

Kashiwa Reysol starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,815).

Kashiwa Reysol win61 %

Draw22 %

JEF United Chiba win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashiwa Reysol
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Senshu University(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	4-2	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	2-1	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

JEF United Chiba
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Azul Claro Numazu(home)	1-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	0-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	0-4	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 JEF United Chiba win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	JEF United Chiba 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol 4-2 JEF United Chiba	J1 League
Mar 7, 2026	JEF United Chiba 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Jan 31, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 JEF United Chiba	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 9, 2025	JEF United Chiba 0-3 Kashiwa Reysol	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 18, 2024	Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 JEF United Chiba	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kashiwa Reysol	1.6	1.2	3	7/15	7/15
JEF United Chiba	0.8	2.0	2	6/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and JEF United Chiba sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Kashiwa Reysol	3	3	0	0	9	4	9
20	JEF United Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba?: The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba played?: Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.