JK Tabasalu vs Narva U21: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tabasalu Staadion, Tabasalu
The Footlab model makes Narva U21 the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for JK Tabasalu. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JK Tabasalu vs Narva U21?
Narva U21 starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,344 vs 1,186).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JK Tabasalu have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Narva U21 have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 0-6 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 0-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 1-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tulevik(away) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Legion(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 5-0 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 JK Tabasalu win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Narva U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Narva U21 5-0 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
| May 6, 2026 | JK Tabasalu 1-0 Narva U21 | Esiliiga B |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Narva U21 2-1 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2025 | JK Tabasalu 1-0 Narva U21 | Esiliiga B |
| May 17, 2025 | JK Tabasalu 2-1 Narva U21 | Esiliiga B |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Narva U21 1-0 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Narva U21 vs JK Tabasalu on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
JK Tabasalu score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Narva U21 score 2.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JK Tabasalu | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Narva U21 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JK Tabasalu sit 8th in Esiliiga B (29 points from 25 matches) and Narva U21 sit 2nd (45 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Narva U21 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 60 | 34 | 45 |
| 8 | JK Tabasalu | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 67 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JK Tabasalu vs Narva U21?
- The Footlab model makes Narva U21 the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for JK Tabasalu.
- Where and when is JK Tabasalu vs Narva U21 played?
- JK Tabasalu vs Narva U21 is played on October 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tabasalu Staadion, in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.