JK Tabasalu vs Narva U21: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tabasalu Staadion, Tabasalu
The Footlab AI model makes Narva U21 the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for JK Tabasalu. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JK Tabasalu vs Narva U21?
Narva U21 is a heavy favourite: 1,450 Elo points against 1,138, a 311-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for JK Tabasalu vs Narva U21
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
JK Tabasalu
4-3-3- 32A. Anepaio
- 7K. Pormeister
- 76K. Altmets
- 22E. Vilisoo
- 10R. Lindemann
- 66S. Salei
- 17R. Riigov
- 16K. Pelt
- 26H. O. Vuks
- 24A. Sarapuu
- 12R. Ilves
Narva U21
4-3-3- 47N. Baljabkin
- 80S. Viidas
- 58V. Torchakov
- 55J. Jerjomin
- 29V. Kudriashov
- 36P. Bahval
- 16S. Kondrattsev
- 2V. Shantenkov
- 23A. Jegorov
- 39J. Ivanov
- 31I. Rebrik
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JK Tabasalu have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Narva U21 have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Luunja(home) | 1-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(away) | 2-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Legion(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 1-4 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(home) | 2-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(away) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Legion(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Luunja(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 JK Tabasalu wins, 0 draws, 3 Narva U21 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Narva U21 4-0 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
| May 31, 2026 | Narva U21 5-0 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
| May 6, 2026 | JK Tabasalu 1-0 Narva U21 | Esiliiga B |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Narva U21 2-1 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2025 | JK Tabasalu 1-0 Narva U21 | Esiliiga B |
| May 17, 2025 | JK Tabasalu 2-1 Narva U21 | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Narva U21 vs JK Tabasalu on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
JK Tabasalu score 1.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Narva U21 score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JK Tabasalu | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Narva U21 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JK Tabasalu sit 8th in Esiliiga B (33 points from 32 matches) and Narva U21 sit 1st (69 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 69 |
| 8 | JK Tabasalu | 32 | 10 | 3 | 19 | 46 | 85 | 33 |
A question about JK Tabasalu vs Narva U21?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JK Tabasalu vs Narva U21?
- The Footlab AI model makes Narva U21 the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for JK Tabasalu.
- Where and when is JK Tabasalu vs Narva U21 played?
- JK Tabasalu vs Narva U21 is played on October 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tabasalu Staadion, in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.