Kagoshima United vs Consadole Sapporo: prediction and stats
J-League CupRound of 128Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Consadole Sapporo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kagoshima United vs Consadole Sapporo?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Kagoshima United (1,812) and Consadole Sapporo (1,789).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagoshima United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Consadole Sapporo have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Blaublitz Akita(away) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(home) | 1-4 | J2 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Albirex Niigata(away) | 1-2 | J2 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tokushima Vortis(home) | 2-0 | J2 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Consadole Sapporo score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Consadole Sapporo | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Consadole Sapporo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kagoshima United vs Consadole Sapporo?
- The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Consadole Sapporo.
- Where and when is Kagoshima United vs Consadole Sapporo played?
- Kagoshima United vs Consadole Sapporo is played on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Shiranami Stadium, in the J-League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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