Where and when is Victoria Września vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?

Victoria Września vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Victoria Września vs Bałtyk Koszalin: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Września

Victoria Września

Bałtyk Koszalin

The Footlab model makes Bałtyk Koszalin the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Victoria Września vs Bałtyk Koszalin?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Victoria Września (1,691) and Bałtyk Koszalin (1,653).

Victoria Września win36 %

Draw26 %

Bałtyk Koszalin win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoria Września have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Bałtyk Koszalin have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Victoria Września
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(away)	0-5	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Luzino(home)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-5	III Liga - Group 2

Bałtyk Koszalin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kalisz(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Luzino(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Victoria Września	1.1	1.7	4	8/15	9/15
Bałtyk Koszalin	1.1	1.7	2	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Victoria Września sit 16th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Bałtyk Koszalin	5	1	2	2	4	7	5
16	Victoria Września	5	1	0	4	4	14	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Victoria Września vs Bałtyk Koszalin?: The Footlab model makes Bałtyk Koszalin the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Victoria Września.
Where and when is Victoria Września vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?: Victoria Września vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.