Where and when is Kalisz vs Elana Toruń played?

Kalisz vs Elana Toruń is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kalisz vs Elana Toruń: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSRiR, Kalisz

Kalisz

Elana Toruń

The Footlab model makes Kalisz the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kalisz vs Elana Toruń?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Kalisz (1,711) and Elana Toruń (1,690).

Kalisz win42 %

Draw25 %

Elana Toruń win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalisz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Elana Toruń have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kalisz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 5, 2026	Górnik Łęczna(away)	0-2	Cup

Elana Toruń
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Kalisz win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Elana Toruń win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 9, 2025	Kalisz 2-1 Elana Toruń	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Kalisz vs Elana Toruń on Jul 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kalisz	0.9	1.7	3	7/15	7/15
Elana Toruń	1.0	2.5	0	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kalisz sit 7th in III Liga - Group 2 (8 points from 5 matches) and Elana Toruń sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Kalisz	5	2	2	1	5	4	8
12	Elana Toruń	5	1	2	2	8	10	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kalisz vs Elana Toruń?: The Footlab model makes Kalisz the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Elana Toruń.
Where and when is Kalisz vs Elana Toruń played?: Kalisz vs Elana Toruń is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.