Match

Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 6Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, Luzino

LuzinoLipno Stęszew

The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Lipno Stęszew. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew?

Luzino starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,706).

Luzino win71 %
Draw16 %
Lipno Stęszew win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzino have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Lipno Stęszew have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luzino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Victoria Września(away)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)6-2III Liga - Group 2
Lipno Stęszew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Środa(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Lech Poznań II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(home)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Wda Świecie(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Elana Toruń(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Luzino win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lipno Stęszew win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Lipno Stęszew 0-5 LuzinoIII Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2025Luzino 1-2 Lipno StęszewIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Lipno Stęszew vs Luzino on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Luzino2.31.3310/1510/15
Lipno Stęszew1.31.747/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Luzino sit 4th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Lipno Stęszew sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Luzino531114710
17Lipno Stęszew50145111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew?
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Lipno Stęszew.
Where and when is Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew played?
Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Luzino and Lipno Stęszew

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