Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 6Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, Luzino
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Lipno Stęszew. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew?
Luzino starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzino have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Lipno Stęszew have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 6-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Luzino win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lipno Stęszew win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew 0-5 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Luzino 1-2 Lipno Stęszew | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Lipno Stęszew vs Luzino on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luzino | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lipno Stęszew | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luzino sit 4th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Lipno Stęszew sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Luzino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew?
- The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Lipno Stęszew.
- Where and when is Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew played?
- Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Kluczevia StargardvsUnia Swarzędz
- Aug 28, 2026Wda ŚwiecievsNoteć Czarnków
- Aug 28, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Aug 28, 2026Polonia ŚrodavsGedania Gdansk
- Aug 29, 2026Lech Poznań IIvsGrom Nowy Staw
- Aug 29, 2026KaliszvsElana Toruń
- Aug 29, 2026Bałtyk KoszalinvsVictoria Września
- Aug 29, 2026Flota ŚwinoujścievsStargard Szczeciński