Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk played?

Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 6Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, Środa Wielkopolska

Polonia Środa

Gedania Gdansk

The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Gedania Gdansk. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk?

Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,668).

Polonia Środa win68 %

Draw17 %

Gedania Gdansk win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Środa have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Gedania Gdansk have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Środa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(home)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2

Gedania Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	5-3	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Polonia Środa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gedania Gdansk win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2025	Polonia Środa 0-4 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Oct 12, 2024	Gedania Gdansk 3-2 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 25, 2023	Polonia Środa 2-1 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 5, 2023	Gedania Gdansk 2-3 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2
Jun 9, 2023	Polonia Środa 4-2 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 12, 2022	Gedania Gdansk 1-3 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk on May 10, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Środa	1.9	1.2	4	8/15	11/15
Gedania Gdansk	1.5	2.3	1	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Środa sit 1st in III Liga - Group 2 (15 points from 5 matches) and Gedania Gdansk sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	5	5	0	0	15	4	15
10	Gedania Gdansk	5	1	3	1	12	11	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Gedania Gdansk.
Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk played?: Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.