Where and when is Flota Świnoujście vs Stargard Szczeciński played?

Flota Świnoujście vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Flota Świnoujście vs Stargard Szczeciński: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świnoujście

Flota Świnoujście

Stargard Szczeciński

The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Flota Świnoujście. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Flota Świnoujście vs Stargard Szczeciński?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Flota Świnoujście (1,722) and Stargard Szczeciński (1,779).

Flota Świnoujście win37 %

Draw25 %

Stargard Szczeciński win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flota Świnoujście have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Stargard Szczeciński have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Flota Świnoujście
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	5-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Kalisz(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2

Stargard Szczeciński
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Flota Świnoujście win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Stargard Szczeciński win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 30, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński 3-0 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 15, 2025	Flota Świnoujście 1-1 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
May 21, 2025	Flota Świnoujście 2-3 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
Jan 18, 2025	Stargard Szczeciński 2-0 Flota Świnoujście	Friendlies Clubs
Oct 26, 2024	Stargard Szczeciński 1-1 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 9, 2024	Stargard Szczeciński 3-1 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Flota Świnoujście	1.3	1.3	4	7/15	8/15
Stargard Szczeciński	1.7	1.5	5	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Flota Świnoujście sit 5th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Flota Świnoujście	5	3	1	1	10	3	10
9	Stargard Szczeciński	5	2	1	2	9	10	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Flota Świnoujście vs Stargard Szczeciński?: The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Flota Świnoujście.
Where and when is Flota Świnoujście vs Stargard Szczeciński played?: Flota Świnoujście vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.