Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 6Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świecie nad Wisłą
The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Wda Świecie. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Wda Świecie (1,759) and Noteć Czarnków (1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wda Świecie have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Noteć Czarnków have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Elana Toruń(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kalisz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Wda Świecie win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Noteć Czarnków win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Wda Świecie 1-3 Noteć Czarnków | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Noteć Czarnków 3-0 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
| May 11, 2025 | Noteć Czarnków 3-0 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Wda Świecie 6-0 Noteć Czarnków | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wda Świecie | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Noteć Czarnków | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wda Świecie sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Noteć Czarnków | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków?
- The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Wda Świecie.
- Where and when is Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków played?
- Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Kluczevia StargardvsUnia Swarzędz
- Aug 28, 2026LuzinovsLipno Stęszew
- Aug 28, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Aug 28, 2026Polonia ŚrodavsGedania Gdansk
- Aug 29, 2026Lech Poznań IIvsGrom Nowy Staw
- Aug 29, 2026KaliszvsElana Toruń
- Aug 29, 2026Bałtyk KoszalinvsVictoria Września
- Aug 29, 2026Flota ŚwinoujścievsStargard Szczeciński