Match

Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 6Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świecie nad Wisłą

Wda ŚwiecieNoteć Czarnków

The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Wda Świecie. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Wda Świecie (1,759) and Noteć Czarnków (1,791).

Wda Świecie win34 %
Draw24 %
Noteć Czarnków win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wda Świecie have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Noteć Czarnków have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wda Świecie
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Unia Swarzędz(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(home)4-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Noteć Czarnków
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Elana Toruń(home)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Kalisz(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Unia Swarzędz(away)3-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(home)0-2III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)3-5III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Wda Świecie win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Noteć Czarnków win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Wda Świecie 1-3 Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2
Nov 15, 2025Noteć Czarnków 3-0 Wda ŚwiecieIII Liga - Group 2
May 11, 2025Noteć Czarnków 3-0 Wda ŚwiecieIII Liga - Group 2
Oct 13, 2024Wda Świecie 6-0 Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wda Świecie1.72.1311/159/15
Noteć Czarnków1.71.347/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wda Świecie sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Wda Świecie53209511
7Noteć Czarnków53021089

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków?
The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Wda Świecie.
Where and when is Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków played?
Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wda Świecie and Noteć Czarnków

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