Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Grom Nowy Staw. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Lech Poznań II (1,779) and Grom Nowy Staw (1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Grom Nowy Staw have 2, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elana Toruń(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Grom Nowy Staw score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznań II | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Grom Nowy Staw | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Grom Nowy Staw sit 14th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Grom Nowy Staw | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Grom Nowy Staw.
- Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw played?
- Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Wda ŚwiecievsNoteć Czarnków
- Aug 28, 2026Kluczevia StargardvsUnia Swarzędz
- Aug 28, 2026LuzinovsLipno Stęszew
- Aug 28, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Aug 28, 2026Polonia ŚrodavsGedania Gdansk
- Aug 29, 2026KaliszvsElana Toruń
- Aug 29, 2026Bałtyk KoszalinvsVictoria Września
- Aug 29, 2026Flota ŚwinoujścievsStargard Szczeciński