Match

Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki

Lech Poznań IIGrom Nowy Staw

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Grom Nowy Staw. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Lech Poznań II (1,779) and Grom Nowy Staw (1,695).

Lech Poznań II win51 %
Draw21 %
Grom Nowy Staw win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Grom Nowy Staw have 2, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lech Poznań II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)2-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Victoria Września(away)5-2III Liga - Group 2
Grom Nowy Staw
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(home)3-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Wda Świecie(away)2-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Elana Toruń(home)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Noteć Czarnków(away)2-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Unia Swarzędz(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Grom Nowy Staw score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lech Poznań II2.11.9311/1512/15
Grom Nowy Staw2.02.025/85/8

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Grom Nowy Staw sit 14th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Lech Poznań II531112910
14Grom Nowy Staw510410133

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw?
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Grom Nowy Staw.
Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw played?
Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lech Poznań II and Grom Nowy Staw

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