Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzędz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 6Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, Stargard
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Unia Swarzędz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzędz?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Kluczevia Stargard (1,771) and Unia Swarzędz (1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kluczevia Stargard have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Unia Swarzędz have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kalisz(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kluczevia Stargard win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Unia Swarzędz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Unia Swarzędz 0-2 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Kluczevia Stargard 2-2 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Unia Swarzędz vs Kluczevia Stargard on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Unia Swarzędz | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Unia Swarzędz sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzędz | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzędz?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Unia Swarzędz.
- Where and when is Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzędz played?
- Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzędz is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026LuzinovsLipno Stęszew
- Aug 28, 2026Wda ŚwiecievsNoteć Czarnków
- Aug 28, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Aug 28, 2026Polonia ŚrodavsGedania Gdansk
- Aug 29, 2026Lech Poznań IIvsGrom Nowy Staw
- Aug 29, 2026KaliszvsElana Toruń
- Aug 29, 2026Bałtyk KoszalinvsVictoria Września
- Aug 29, 2026Flota ŚwinoujścievsStargard Szczeciński